Monday, January 24, 2011

Movie Scores

Movie stars already done...just click on name and away you go to Movie Scores.

Alphabetical Index
Jennifer Aniston; Christian Bale; James Bond; Marlon Brando;
Sandra Bullock; Nicholas Cage; Michael Caine; Sean Connery;
Russell Crowe; John Cusack; Matt Damon; Doris Day;
Johnny Depp ; Leonardo DiCaprio; Robert Duvall; Clint Eastwood;
Clark Gable; Cary Grant; Hugh Grant; Tom Hanks;
Angelina Jolie; Steve McQueen; Marilyn Monroe; Gregory Peck;
Brad Pitt; Natalie Portman; Julia Roberts; Kurt Russell;
Adam Sandler; Will Smith ; Meryl Streep; James Stewart;
John Travolta; Christopher Walken; Denzel Washington;
John Wayne; Bruce Willis; Owen Wilson
Best Picture Winners



Hollywood Abstract Index

The Goal
The goal of this blog is to use a mathematical formula to score every movie. When thinking about this formula I thought what would be the best case scenario for a movie about to be released. Here is the perfect case for a movie. (1) Movie is released and the critics love the movie....it is scoring 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic. (2) On Saturday, Box Office Guru and Box Office Mojo are reporting the movie will be number one at the box office. (3) Opening box office grosses are stellar. (4) Weekend #2, your movie is still number one; meaning word of mouth is strong as yahoo user reviews and IMDB voting are very strong (5) Weekend #3, your movie has legs and is on the way to becoming a mega hit. (6) Award season comes....you get Golden Globe nomination and then a Golden Globe win. (7) Academy Award nomination. (8) And finally an Academy Award win.

My formula currently has nine different ways to earn points...a perfect score would be 100%. So far I have completed the formula on nearly 1000 movies. The best scores so far belong to Marlon Brando(99.0) in The Godfather and Heath Ledger(98.5) in The Dark Knight. And sitting on the bottom of this list....Nicolas Cage (5.86) in the forgotten classic Deadfall. Each blog will have an entire actor's career, with total points earned and an average score for each movie.

Since someone asked...here is the complicated formula and how it works:
A complete example of how the points are calculated. Meryl Streep in The Devil Wears Prada. Here are its stats: Made in 2006, grossed $124,740,460, opened #2, in top 5 for 3 weeks, scored 75% on rotten tomatoes, 62% on meta critic, IMDB rating 6.8, yahoo rating B or 7.5, audience vote also on rotten tomatoes 7.0. Streep won Golden Globe for movie, nominated for Academy Award.

So here we go:
1. Opening weekend: opened #2.....this earns 4 points, five is the max a movie can get
2. Weeks in top 5: 3 weeks, which earns 3 points, five is the max a movie can get
3. Box office gross: 124 million actual, inflated gross is 134 million.....the ceiling is 225 million anything over that gets the max of 40 points. In this case the movie 134 million with inflation. So take 134/225 = 59.55%......then take that percentane and multiply by 40. 40 * 59.55 gives us 23.82 points.
4. Next up is the critics. Rotten Tomatoes score = 75%(7.5) and metacritics = 62%.
(6.2). Add the two up (75% + 62%)/2 = 68.50%. The max here is 15 points. So take score and times the max....15 * 68.50 = 10.27 points.
5. Next up is the public. IMDB rating equals 68%, Yahoo rating = 75%, rotten tomatoes = 70%....Add all three up and divide by 3. (68% + 75% + 70%)/3 = 71% The max here is also 15 points. So take the score and times the max. 15 * 71% = 10.65 points.
6. Oscar points....was this movie nominated for any awards and did it win? If nominated it gets 3 points and if it wins any category it gets another 2 points....max is 5 points. In this case it was nominated twice with no wins.......so it earns 3 points.
7. An Oscar nomination for an actress earns 5 points a Oscar win earns 5 more points...max is 10 points. In this case Streep was nominated but did not win Oscar....so it earns 5 points.
8. A Golden Globe nomination for an actress/actor earns 3 points, a Golden Globe win earns 2 more points. In this case Streep won the Golden Globe....earns 5 points.
9. Add them up and you have a score. 4 + 3+ 23.82 + 10.27 + 10.65 + 3 + 5 + 5 = 64.74 points.
How this was started.